Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.164329 0.187366 0.212958 0.243578 0.279331 0.319886 0.369557
2026-01-18 0.130879 0.162207 0.200495 0.251121 0.316878 0.400183 0.514956
2026-01-25 0.108777 0.143138 0.188148 0.252247 0.342516 0.467126 0.655720
2026-02-01 0.093430 0.128855 0.177875 0.251973 0.363464 0.528785 0.799844
2026-02-08 0.081515 0.116863 0.168055 0.249422 0.378970 0.583375 0.943098
2026-02-15 0.072102 0.106864 0.159225 0.246188 0.391747 0.634574 1.090426
2026-02-22 0.066488 0.101664 0.156652 0.251878 0.419143 0.713785 1.303510
2026-03-01 0.059942 0.094102 0.149210 0.248130 0.429297 0.764020 1.473288
2026-03-08 0.055149 0.088756 0.144613 0.248377 0.446234 0.829211 1.687840
2026-03-15 0.050965 0.083919 0.140222 0.248209 0.462072 0.894741 1.918942
2026-03-22 0.048206 0.081196 0.139130 0.253866 0.489984 0.989789 2.241514
2026-03-29 0.045489 0.078239 0.137232 0.257612 0.514461 1.082043 2.582862
2026-04-05 0.042935 0.075375 0.135290 0.261234 0.539835 1.182819 2.980215
2026-04-12 0.040991 0.073452 0.134928 0.268083 0.573675 1.311194 3.495990
2026-04-19 0.038580 0.070393 0.131996 0.269046 0.594167 1.411360 3.965098
2026-04-26 0.036276 0.067316 0.128687 0.268705 0.611470 1.507206 4.455369
2026-05-03 0.033967 0.064011 0.124559 0.265951 0.622338 1.588281 4.927898
2026-05-10 0.031814 0.060828 0.120359 0.262469 0.630770 1.664590 5.413893
2026-05-17 0.030672 0.059614 0.120223 0.268591 0.665618 1.826333 6.279200
2026-05-24 0.028806 0.056721 0.116140 0.264559 0.672119 1.903750 6.852741
2026-05-31 0.027422 0.054740 0.113891 0.264824 0.690833 2.024720 7.660690
2026-06-07 0.026115 0.052815 0.111582 0.264644 0.708301 2.146384 8.531561
2026-06-14 0.025327 0.051963 0.111661 0.270730 0.745718 2.346673 9.869386